The International Energy Agency says sales of electric cars are booming. In a report issued on April 26, the IEA said global sales are poised to rise 35% this year. However, according to a future report from the global management consultancy McKinsey, the increase in sales is only a point.
The new McKinsey report:The future of mobilitypublished on April 19, claims that mobility is “on the verge of a major transformation” and that one of the main results will be “fewer private car sales”.
The decline in sales will be slow at first—only a 15% drop in ten years, globally—but in the meantime, car use, especially in many European and North American cities, will fall dramatically.
“Governments are already enacting regulations to reduce the number of vehicles on the road to ease congestion and reduce emissions,” says the McKinsey report, “and consumers are also expressing preferences for more efficient transportation options, ecological and comfortable”.
Over the next decade, however, “the mobility ecosystem will likely undergo a transformation not seen since the early days of the automobile,” with McKinsey predicting a steady decline in car use.
“Public transport, electric scooters, electric bicycles and mini-mobility (very small cars with three or four wheels) could become preferred modes of transport, rather than the last resort for people who cannot they can pay for the cars,” says the consultant. report
“City dwellers … will drive most of the change,” and there will be “big changes to the mobility infrastructure,” including “more bike-friendly streets,” he says. The future of mobility.
By 2035, car sales in the European Union are expected to be almost 20% lower than in 2015, and the United States could see an even bigger drop of 30%.
“The United States will need to build new infrastructure and increase support for alternative mobility options as private car ownership declines,” says McKinsey.
To promote greener transport, more than 150 cities have implemented measures to curb the use of private vehicles, according to reports The future of mobilityand “efforts to increase awareness of private car emissions” will result in more cities “limiting[ing] the number of private cars”.
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